Date
2026-04-17
Tickers
1418
Drift Tier
NORMAL
Norm Drift
1.33x
Signal Conf
HIGH
Method
D
Dom Window
25Y
Avg Corr
0.187
Long
1331
Short
87
Regime Bulls
13
YC Z
-0.01
About This Dashboard
Regime-aware method selection across ETF momentum, pole rotation, and stock screening. Automatically picks Method A/B/C based on drift tier from changepoint analysis, with top picks and conviction scores.
For educational and informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
NORMAL REGIME -- Method D - Stock Analogs
norm_drift = 1.327x  |  Dominant window = 25Y  |  Avg correlation = 0.187  |  Analog days = 100
25Y corr = 0.187  |  5Y corr = 0.160  |  1Y corr = 0.157
DNORMAL regime (60% of days): D-Stock is the ONLY significant method (t=4.18, +0.84% 10d, p<0.001). All others insignificant (A t=-0.15, C t=0.32). Regime signal (t=2.02) running as secondary.
REGIME SIGNAL -- Bull ETFs from macro window consensus
Top windows: taper_vol (40.4%)gfc (38.3%)  |  Consensus: 2-of-2:taper_vol+gfc  |  Bull poles: 3
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Tickers in this list have the "REGIME" badge in the table below. Strongest signal = high primary score + regime bull.

Smart Scanner -- All Tickers Ranked

Click column header to sort  |  Filter by direction, asset type, stage, or momentum below

How to Read

Score -7 to +7: win_rate x return_magnitude x stat_confidence x horizon_weight  | Dir: LONG if predicted 10d return > 0  | Hit%: % of analog days with positive fwd return  | Cell colours: per-column 5th-95th percentile gradient
Slope Stage Stg: 1=Basing 2=Uptrend 3=Parabolic 4=Decline | TQ: Trend Quality 0-100 | Slp%: Annualized slope
Momentum Ranker MRk: Rank (lower=better) | MSc: Composite score | MF: Flag | PB: Pullback
Pullback Health Hlth: Health score 0-100 | Vrd: Verdict | DD: Drawdown in NATR units | Rcv: Historical median recovery %
Actual Returns Predictions Momentum z-scores REGIME = regime bull ETF
Filters: Entry = Stage 2 + Long + Score>0 (best entry candidates)  |  Top 50 Mom = top 50 momentum ranker tickers  |  Healthy = pullback health >= 80 (HEALTHY verdict)  |  PB Warning = pullback health < 40 (deep pullback or deteriorating)