Data Date
2026-07-09
ETFs
553
Dominant
25Y
25Y Avg Corr
0.283
5Y Avg Corr
0.249
1Y Avg Corr
0.271
All 3 Bullish
308
All 3 Bearish
240
About This Dashboard
Momentum z-scores and forward predictions for 500+ ETFs across 25-year, 5-year, and 1-year windows. Historical pattern matching produces predicted 5-day and 10-day returns with win rates. Sector rotation scores combine trend strength, agreement across timeframes, and pattern confidence.
Today's data reveals a broadly bearish market environment with most ETFs showing negative sector rotation scores and bearish historical agreement signals. The standout performers are AIQ (Artificial Intelligence) and AIRR, both scoring around 3.2-3.3 on the rotation metric with bullish signals, though AIRR shows concerning negative momentum across all timeframes (3-day through 10-day returns ranging from -4.70% to -1.28%), suggesting potential weakness despite its bullish classification. In contrast, AIA (Asia) and AIQ show strong 3-month returns of 21.24% and 28.69% respectively, indicating recent strength that contrasts sharply with the broader bearish tone in equity and bond ETFs like AGG (Aggregate Bond) which is down 1.26% over three months. Most major broad-market ETFs (ACWI, ACWX, AAXJ) are clustered at zero rotation scores with bearish sentiment, suggesting limited conviction for new sector rotations at this moment. The data lacks forward prediction values across most holdings, limiting visibility into the model's confidence in next-week moves.
For educational and informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

How to Read

Score 0-9: Win rate (0-2) + Return magnitude (0-2) + 5Y confirms (0-2) + 25Y confirms (0-2) + Horizon agreement (0-1)
Agree: All 3 history windows predict same 10d direction  |  Momentum: z-score vs history  |  Cell colors: per-column gradient, 5th-95th percentile range  |  Pred cells: avg return (top) + win% (bottom)  |  25Y 5Y 1Y

SecRot Deep Dive — Pattern Matching

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